Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.416487 4.752311 5.121463 5.561433 6.077136 6.669837 7.413892
2025-05-25 3.899635 4.333934 4.842674 5.495957 6.334175 7.407898 8.953380
2025-06-01 3.559975 4.055721 4.666319 5.500942 6.662683 8.318699 11.094574
2025-06-08 3.295532 3.828310 4.511543 5.496078 6.970802 9.305855 13.950794
2025-06-15 3.111343 3.676815 4.428715 5.567143 7.401462 10.657325 18.711946
2025-06-22 2.899416 3.464607 4.234250 5.439484 7.485718 11.455183 23.463212
2025-06-29 2.695013 3.243611 4.002410 5.217828 7.357759 11.790917 27.740084
2025-07-06 2.544641 3.084601 3.843218 5.086717 7.361464 12.431165 35.319699
2025-07-13 2.502503 3.072089 3.895022 5.302386 8.073262 15.274263 80.168445
2025-07-20 2.439052 3.023106 3.885327 5.410478 8.604447 18.204412 479.744757
2025-07-27 2.418252 3.033537 3.967004 5.692668 9.629581 24.595829 NaN
2025-08-03 2.394882 3.037420 4.037264 5.965805 10.771742 35.459957 NaN
2025-08-10 2.310335 2.950390 3.962468 5.969301 11.284956 46.794731 NaN
2025-08-17 2.194669 2.809508 3.787283 5.745581 11.052478 50.835859 NaN
2025-08-24 2.111069 2.714381 3.683815 5.661342 11.255785 65.276329 NaN
2025-08-31 2.038506 2.632571 3.597106 5.601689 11.535561 92.284574 NaN
2025-09-07 1.986551 2.580317 3.557743 5.640989 12.215288 205.343846 NaN
2025-09-14 1.912364 2.488650 3.441615 5.489882 12.098285 318.546215 NaN
2025-09-21 1.831661 2.383205 3.294867 5.252807 11.556527 289.063298 NaN
2025-09-28 1.769537 2.305373 3.193848 5.113165 11.389403 447.127850 NaN
2025-10-05 1.758325 2.309089 3.240108 5.326310 12.882537 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 1.733678 2.289385 3.241585 5.432311 14.022450 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 1.729772 2.303522 3.307275 5.714606 16.533666 NaN NaN